It was a roughly ₹5 million ($5.4 million) bet on swaps tied to the German bank’s junior debt, according to people familiar with the matter, who said regulators have spoken to market participants about the transaction. The contracts can be illiquid, so a single bet can trigger big moves. A spokesperson for Deutsche Bank declined to comment.
The suspected knock-on effect was a rout that sent banking stocks tumbling, government bonds higher and CDS prices for lenders soaring, trimming about 1.6 billion off Deutsche Bank’s market cap and more than ₹30 billion off an index that tracks European banking stocks. That’s because investors have been on edge since the collapse of several US banks and rescue of Credit Suisse Group AG, with the market searching for clues on whether other lenders would also face strain.
European banks and their regulators have sought to underline that they have a close watch on risks including rising rates and that the industry is on a sound footing. Amid the unwanted attention, German lender published a presentation on Monday that cited its “well diversified portfolio” of deposits, a key focus for investors following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Deutsche Bank rebounded on Monday, erasing some of Friday’s losses.
“Investors see Deutsche Bank as one of the higher beta names; so in case you want to bet generally against weak sentiment, then these kind of names may be interesting,” said Suvi Platerink Kosonen, a banking credit analyst at ING Groep NV.
It’s unclear who placed the relevant trades or why they did it. Some data point to the trades being for hedging purposes, said one of the people. There’s also a trade on Deutsche Bank’s five-year, senior CDS contracts executed on Thursday that attracted scrutiny, one of the people said. Bloomberg